Detection of cognitive deficits years prior to clinical diagnosis across neurological conditions

Abstract Understanding the cognitive trajectory of a neurological disease can provide important insight on underlying mechanisms and disease progression. Cognitive impairment is now well established as beginning many years before the diagnosis of Alzheimer’s disease, but pre-diagnostic profiles are unclear for other neurological conditions that may be associated with cognitive impairment. We analysed data from the prospective UK Biobank cohort with study baseline assessment performed between 2006-2010 and participants followed until 2021. We examined data from 497,252 participants, aged between 38 and 72 years at baseline, with an imaging sub-sample of 42,468 participants. Using time-to-diagnosis and time-from-diagnosis data in relation to time of assessment, we compared a continuous measure of executive function and magnetic resonance imaging brain measures of total grey matter and hippocampal volume in individuals with ischaemic stroke, focal epilepsy, Parkinson’s disease, multiple sclerosis, motor neurone disease (amyotrophic lateral sclerosis) and migraine. Of the 497,252 participants (226,206 [45.5%] men, mean [SD] age, 57.5[8.1] years), 12,755 had ischaemic stroke, 6,758 had a diagnosis of focal epilepsy, 3,315 had Parkinson’s disease, 2,315 had multiple sclerosis, 559 had motor neurone disease and 18,254 had migraine either at study baseline or diagnosed during the follow-up period. Apart from motor neurone disease, all conditions had lower pre-diagnosis executive function compared to controls (assessment performed median 7.4 years before diagnosis). At a group level, focal epilepsy and multiple sclerosis showed a gradual worsening in executive function up to 15 years prior to diagnosis, while ischaemic stroke was characterised by a modest decline for a few years followed by a substantial reduction at the time of diagnosis. By contrast, participants with migraine showed a mild reduction in pre-diagnosis cognition compared to controls which improved following clinical diagnosis. Pre-diagnosis MRI grey matter volume was lower than controls for stroke, Parkinson’s disease and multiple sclerosis (scans performed median 1.7 years before diagnosis), while other conditions had lower volumes post-diagnosis. These cognitive trajectory models reveal disease-specific temporal patterns at a group level, including a long cognitive prodrome associated with focal epilepsy and multiple sclerosis. The findings may help to prioritise risk management of individual diseases and inform clinical decision-making.